Gate 廣場|3/4 今日話題: #美伊局势影响
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美伊衝突持續升級,霍爾木茲海峽陷入事實性封鎖,伊拉克部分原油生產受影響。能源供應再度緊張,通脹預期抬頭,股市與大宗商品市場波動加劇。
💬 本期熱議:
1️⃣ 你關注到了哪些足以撼動市場的戰爭新進展?
2️⃣ 能源、航運、國防補給、避險資產(黃金/BTC)都受到了哪些影響?
3️⃣ 當前有哪些值得關注的多空機會?
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#SOL #SOL Currently, the market generally expects the SOL ETF to be approved in October 2025.
A number of institutions such as VanEck and Grayscale have submitted S-1 registration documents for spot SOL ETFs, and the SEC has required applicants to revise/supplement the documents by the end of July. Analysts at Bloomberg believe that the probability of the SEC approving the spot Solana ETF in the second half of 2025 is as high as 95%.
Regarding the capital inflow volume, different institutions have different forecasts. J.P. Morgan estimates that the capital inflow volume of the Solana ETF will be approximately 1.5 billion U.S. dollars in the first year after its listing. Previously, the market predicted that the Solana ETF is expected to unlock 3 billion to 6 billion U.S. dollars of institutional capital, which will flow into SOL after the approval.#SOL 目前市場普遍預計SOL ETF可能在2025年10月獲得批準 。
多家機構如VanEck、Grayscale等已提交spot SOL ETF的S-1註冊文件,SEC曾要求申請方在7月底前修正/補充文件 。彭博社分析師認爲SEC在2025年下半年批準現貨Solana ETF的概率高達95% 。
關於資金流入量,不同機構預測有所不同。摩根大通預計Solana ETF上市後首年資金流入量約爲15億美元 。而此前市場預測Solana ETF有望釋放30億至60億美元的機構資本,在獲批後的流入SOL 。