BlockBeats News, March 26 - The United States has recently been continuously sending signals for US-Iran peace talks, yet simultaneously faces constant setbacks from Iran. Trump administration officials stated that the White House is working to arrange a meeting this weekend in Pakistan to discuss solutions to the Iran crisis, and US Vice President Vance may travel to Pakistan this weekend to participate in talks with Iran. The United States insists simultaneously that it has not received any signals of Iran rejecting negotiations.

Meanwhile, Iran has taken a hardline stance, stating that ceasefire and negotiations are not feasible at the current stage, and has laid out five conditions for a ceasefire: complete cessation of aggression and assassinations, ensuring war will not be imposed on Iran again, war reparations, ending the war on all fronts and by all resistance organizations, and recognition of Iran's sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz. Iran simultaneously issued a hardline warning that if Iran's rival forces are allowed to occupy Iranian islands, Iran may open a new front in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

According to PolyBeats monitoring, currently on the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of a US-Iran ceasefire this month stands at 14%, with a 50% probability of ceasefire by the end of next month.