Crypto Market Prediction: Four 300,000,000 Shiba Inu (SHIB) Barriers to Jump Over, Is XRP Bull Market Comeback Secured? Bitcoin (BTC) Will Only Move After 31st - U.Today

SHIB0,26%
XRP0,14%
BTC1,19%
  • Shiba Inu stays suppressed
  • Can XRP come back to bull market?
  • Bitcoin is sleeping The market is not feeling like moving at this point in time: the main source of volatility (U.S. markets) is currently on holidays, which is why we should expect movement only in the next year.

Shiba Inu stays suppressed

Right now, Shiba Inu is trapped in one of the harshest technological environments it has encountered this year. Volatility is muted, the price is drifting close to local lows, and every attempt at a bounce is met with the same issue: stacked resistance overhead.

SHIB is currently battling four walls instead of just one. The short-term moving average cluster is the initial and most direct obstacle. SHIB’s fast averages, which are still declining, are being traded below. Short-term relief rallies are almost immediately capped by these levels, which suppress momentum and discourage follow-through purchases. Upside attempts continue to be reactive rather than trend-driven as long as the price remains below this range.

Article imageSHIB/USDT Chart by TradingViewThe medium-term moving average, which has been serving as dynamic resistance since October, is the second obstacle. The larger downtrend structure has been reinforced by each push toward it that has been met with rejection. This level is important because swing traders usually add supply on each approach by reentering short positions at this point.

The long-term trend average is the third barrier, which is situated higher and is more psychological than technical. This line indicates whether SHIB is entering a recovery phase or is in a bear phase. It is currently trending lower and much higher than the price. The market will not consider a bullish regime shift until SHIB even gets close to this level.

The fourth obstacle is structural. SHIB is still trapped in a downward price channel with lower highs and lows. The price must break out of this larger structure to indicate that sellers are losing control, even if it is able to recover one or two moving averages. Any bounce without it runs the risk of turning into just another lower high.

This reality is reflected in momentum indicators. The RSI is weak but not giving in, it is currently in the low 40s. Volume has declined, indicating that buyers are not intervening either, but sellers are no longer assertive. Instead of a reversal, this results in stagnation.

Can XRP come back to bull market?

XRP was unable to enter a sustained bull market for the majority of this year. Each push higher ended with lower highs, rallies were brief, and structure continued to be corrective. Price frequently rolled over once it reached important resistance zones, and momentum never persisted. To put it simply, XRP moved more like a distribution-stuck asset than an expanding one.

This context is important because the current situation is different. XRP has changed its behavior following months of constricted and annoying price action. XRP avoided a complete structural breakdown and instead carved out a controlled declining channel while the overall market retreated. Now, selling pressure has clearly diminished, volatility is compressing, and that channel is flattening. This is a regime shift from ongoing rejection, but it is not yet an explosive upside.

XRP was unable to maintain trading above medium-term moving averages for longer than a few sessions earlier in the year. Every trend resistance test was met with instant supply. Instead of crashing through important levels, price action is currently stabilizing close to them. It is a minor but significant distinction. Early bull phases absorb, while bear markets reject.

Indicators of momentum back that change. The RSI is stabilizing in the low-40s range and has stopped making lower lows, indicating that the downward momentum is no longer accelerating. After significant sell-offs earlier in the cycle, volume has returned to normal, indicating that forced selling is mostly complete. Positioning is what’s left.

Calling this a full-blown bull run would be premature because, structurally, XRP is still below long-term resistance. However, bull markets often begin with failed breakdowns rather than clear breakouts. The first indication that control may be shifting is when XRP is unable to move much lower despite a bearish structure.

Bitcoin is sleeping

As is usually the case at the end of the year, Bitcoin is not making any significant moves. Following a steep decline, the price is contracting in a narrow range, volatility is declining, and both sides of the market appear worn out rather than assured. This is a holding pattern rather than distribution euphoria or accumulation panic. Technically speaking, Bitcoin is trading significantly below its important moving averages

While the 200-day average sits above as far-off resistance, the 50- and 100-day averages are declining. The RSI is stuck in the mid-40s, indicating indecision rather than fear, and momentum indicators are flat. Since the November sell-off, volume has significantly declined, indicating that aggressive participation has temporarily ceased

What matters is not only what appears on the chart but also the reasons behind it. Risk assets are structurally dead by the end of December. Reallocations are mostly frozen, institutional desks are closing books, and the majority of funds are more focused on year-end reporting than starting new exposure.

Spreads increase liquidity, and the likelihood of significant trend formation declines. Additionally, retail is not driving anything. Following a turbulent year, interest in markets wanes until the calendar flips. Regardless of how bullish or bearish the overall narrative sounds, that combination — institutional absence and retail fatigue — is exactly how Bitcoin ends up chopping sideways.

It is therefore unlikely that volatility will increase before Dec. 31. Unless compelled, big money does not force size into low-liquidity holiday conditions. They stand by. Additionally, flows return with intent when they return, usually during the first full trading week of January.

Avertissement : Les informations contenues dans cette page peuvent provenir de tiers et ne représentent pas les points de vue ou les opinions de Gate. Le contenu de cette page est fourni à titre de référence uniquement et ne constitue pas un conseil financier, d'investissement ou juridique. Gate ne garantit pas l'exactitude ou l'exhaustivité des informations et n'est pas responsable des pertes résultant de l'utilisation de ces informations. Les investissements en actifs virtuels comportent des risques élevés et sont soumis à une forte volatilité des prix. Vous pouvez perdre la totalité du capital investi. Veuillez comprendre pleinement les risques pertinents et prendre des décisions prudentes en fonction de votre propre situation financière et de votre tolérance au risque. Pour plus de détails, veuillez consulter l'avertissement.

Articles similaires

Les traders affirment que Bitcoin est toujours destiné à un « prochain mouvement baissier » visant le prix $46K BTC

L'échec de Bitcoin (BTC) à clôturer la semaine au-dessus de la moyenne mobile exponentielle sur 200 semaines (EMA) dimanche l'expose au risque d'une autre jambe baissière au cours des semaines ou mois à venir. Points clés : Le prix du Bitcoin signale une « faiblesse structurelle » avec l'échec de clôturer la semaine au-dessus d'une ligne de tendance clé. A

CointelegraphIl y a 12m

BTC chute sous 71000 USDT, la hausse sur 24 heures se rétrécit à 1.38%

Gate News Actualité, le 25 mars, les données de marché montrent que le BTC a chuté en dessous de 71000 USDT, cotant actuellement 70973.9 USDT, avec une augmentation sur 24 heures réduite à 1.38%.

GateNewsIl y a 17m

Maji Dage a ouvert une position longue BTC à effet de levier 40x il y a 3 heures, avec une valeur de position totale approchant 16 millions de dollars.

Gate News rapporte que le 25 mars, selon les données de Hyperbot, Mahjong Big Brother Huang Licheng a de nouveau ouvert une position longue sur le Bitcoin avec un effet de levier de 40x il y a 3 heures, détenant actuellement 22 BTC. De plus, Mahjong Big Brother détient également une position longue sur l'Ethereum avec un effet de levier de 25x, avec une position d'environ 6 675 ETH. La valeur totale de la position est actuellement d'environ 15 983 000 dollars.

GateNewsIl y a 18m

Le frère Maji Huang Licheng ouvre à nouveau une position longue BTC avec un effet de levier de 40 fois, la valeur globale de la position approche 16 millions de dollars

Gate News annonce que le 25 mars, selon les données on-chain, il y a environ trois heures, Huang Licheng (黄立成), connu sous le nom de "frère Maji" (麻吉大哥), a ouvert une nouvelle position longue sur Bitcoin avec un effet de levier 40x, détenant actuellement 22 BTC dans cette position. De plus, Huang Licheng détient également une position longue sur Ethereum avec un effet de levier 25x, d'environ 6675 ETH. La valeur totale de ses positions actuelles s'élève à environ 15.983 millions de dollars.

GateNewsIl y a 18m

BTC chute de 0,58% en 15 minutes : les ventes initiales à court terme libèrent la pression sur les prix

2026-03-25 15:00 à 15:15 (UTC), le prix du BTC a fluctué entre 70745,5 et 71300,9 USDT, avec une amplitude de 0,78%, et un rendement de 15 minutes enregistrant -0,58%. Durant cette période, la volatilité du marché s'est intensifiée, l'intérêt des traders court terme a augmenté, et les changements de liquidité ont provoqué une pression de prix localisée. Le moteur principal de cette anomalie était la libération concentrée des ventes volontaires à court terme, entraînant une légère baisse du prix du BTC. Le volume de transactions sur le marché au comptant a légèrement augmenté durant cette période, indiquant que certains fonds ont choisi de réaliser des gains à des niveaux élevés, mais la pression de vente globale ne présentait pas de caractère systématique

GateNewsIl y a 32m

Au cours des 24 dernières heures, les liquidations nettes du réseau se sont élevées à 2.30 milliards de dollars, avec 1.52 milliard de dollars de liquidations de positions courtes.

Selon les données de CoinGlass, le marché des cryptomonnaies a enregistré des liquidations d'un montant de 2,30 milliards de dollars au cours des 24 dernières heures le 25 mars, dont 77,73 millions de dollars de liquidations de positions longues et 152 millions de dollars de liquidations de positions courtes. BTC et ETH ont respectivement enregistré des liquidations de 81,31 millions de dollars et 65,04 millions de dollars, avec un total de 75 389 traders liquidés. La plus grande liquidation unique s'élevait à 119,04 millions de dollars.

GateNewsIl y a 34m
Commentaire
0/400
Aucun commentaire