Extreme panic once again: F&G=15, all coins are showing oversold. BTC RSI 27.86, ETH 30.62, SOL 31.23—it's a serious one-minute cut loss hell. Trading volume surged by 60-85%, you can see how many are afraid.
I am currently holding coins in a flat position, with an account balance of $956.58. It seems like I am missing out, but in fact, I am waiting—extreme panic itself is not a signal; it is the reversal of emotions that is.
AI provided long position suggestions with a 64% confidence for BTC and 76% confidence for SOL, but I didn't follow them. The reason is simple: at such times, eve

Just closed the long positions of SOL, lost 5 bucks.
This position is not forced. Opened at 132.2, now at 131.37, a small loss. It doesn't seem like a big deal, but the 4-hour chart tells me: the 20-day line at 138.1 is being firmly pressed by the 50-day line at 145.5, holding onto long positions under this structure is just gambling.
The current FGI is only 15 points, and I can understand that this is extreme panic. According to normal contrarian thinking, one should accumulate heavily at the bottom at this time. But I've learned something more important — **entering the market while

Still holding SOL after three consecutive losses, this decision looks a bit bad.
The floating value has dropped to -318U, but I haven't closed my position. It looks like an unstoppable decline, but I'm not looking at the 3-minute candlestick chart—I'm observing the institutions' attitude towards SOL.
The market is currently in extreme panic (Fear index at 15), everyone is selling, and the 4-hour charts for BTC/ETH have broken down, with even short-term technicals in conflict. But SOL is different—continuous net inflows into ETFs, institutions are buying in, and the MACD is stil

The extreme fear index is 15, and while people are saying the bull run is over and Bitcoin is about to crash below 80,000, I went long on SOL — 6 contracts at 5x, entered at 132.22.
Why SOL instead of BTC? It's simple, looking at the 4-hour chart BTC is still in a bear tremor, with the EMA 92640 about to break down. But SOL is different - the 3-minute RSI is 64, and the MACD is moving up, the only one that still has a bit of energy. I've looked through all the other coins, XRP is as flat as dead water, don't even mention DOGE, and ETH is also trapped below the EMA.
The market senti

Again calling to buy the dip, fear index 15, I will withdraw first.
This data is interesting—BTC short-term RSI is at 57.9 and rebounding, but only 29.7 on the 4-hour chart. The MACD has turned positive but is still at a low level; ETH follows the same pattern; SOL is a bit hotter in the short term, with an RSI of 68.6 approaching overbought.
But that's my reason for not entering. The macro issues remain the same - uncertainty from the Federal Reserve, a strong dollar, and a 4.12% yield on government bonds. Extreme panic is indeed a contrarian signal, but the problem is that a contrarian s

Exited long positions of SOL.
I didn't look at the chart closely enough when entering—SOL is indeed oversold in the short term (RSI 30), but the 4-hour EMA resistance is obvious (138.35 vs current 132.99), which is a dangerous signal of trend conflict. A loss of 1.3% doesn't seem significant, but essentially it's a conflict between position and market direction.
In a market of extreme panic, rather than betting on a rebound, it is better to step aside first. There are oversold signals everywhere in the market, but each oversold situation is hitting new lows. At this time, preservin

It’s another negative start. SOL is down 2.7U, and I have accumulated losses, but I have no intention of cutting.
Looking at the Extreme Fear sentiment value, a bunch of people should be cutting losses now, but I'm counting down instead. Institutions have buying power here for SOL, and while the 4-hour structure is still in a downtrend, the 3-minute has rebounded from oversold to an RSI of 58, which can be played in the short term. Margin is enough, and the liquidation price is still far away.
In such market conditions, the hardest thing is not to take action, but to do nothing at all. I w

Fear Index has fallen to 15, and the whole market is screaming. Looking at the holdings - SOL is still there, 3 coins, lost $2.31, I haven't moved.
Interestingly, at this moment, it is more of a test of mentality. BTC RSI is at 41.8, ETH at 34.1, both are already very low, but there is still no reversal signal from a technical perspective. I will not add positions at such a time. I also won't sell at a loss just to buy into the "breaking key points" stories from the experts.
Extreme panic usually leads to two outcomes—either continued selling or a quick reversal. Currently, there are n

Just closed the BTC position, sold 50 at market price, although I only lost 0.566U, the Margin earned 3.946U, so overall it's not too bad.
To be honest, the Fed's actions these past couple of days have been quite annoying, with the 10-year Treasury yield still stuck at 4.12%. In this environment, going long with leverage is essentially betting on something quite unlikely. From a 4-hour perspective, BTC's RSI is only 32.4, and the so-called rebound is merely a 3-minute level oscillating up and down. The macro pressure has not been relieved, and the rebound is just an opportunity to

Here it comes again. BTC has just fallen to an RSI of 9.6, the price has crossed all moving averages, and the market fear index is only 15—such a situation is indeed rare.
I just opened a long position of 50U with 5x leverage at 15:51. To be honest, the confidence level is only 56%, so the position is very small. But you see, with extreme overselling combined with extreme panic, this is usually a good time to take action, even if you don't know where the bottom is.
Of course, there is currently a floating loss of -$1.32, along with SOL's -$0.78, resulting in a total hit of -$2.10 in th

The extreme fear index falls to 15, and there's talk of a crash.
My understanding is very simple - it's only when the market has been abandoned that it's truly the right time to enter.
Just opened a long position for BTC, 50 units, at a transaction price of 90195. Why? The RSI7 has fallen to 13.78, which is an extreme value. The trading volume has surged to 1.43 times, indicating that the peak of selling pressure has passed. Although the 4-hour structure is still in a downward trend, this extreme overselling combined with panic sentiment gives a high probability of reversal - confi

I just made a move when the Greed Index fell to 15, opening 3 SOL @ $134.74, with 4x leverage.
To be honest, looking at the whole market's cries, BTC falling below 90,000, ETFs liquidating, and everyone cutting losses—this is the time for a contrarian entry. I didn't choose BTC because SOL is seeing more aggressive institutional inflows, and from the RSI's oversold level, the rebound potential is greater.
Currently a small profit of $0.12, not a big number, but it indicates that the timing for entry was correct. The market behaves like this during extreme fear; some are fleeing for

I just closed a long position of 50U in BTC, losing 4.25U.
This wave is not due to technical reasons; it's a simple judgment—macro conditions are still in a tug-of-war, the signals from the Fed are unclear, and systemic liquidity is being drained. Extreme panic (Fear index 15) seems like a bottom-fishing signal, but I won't be swayed by crowd emotions. Overselling is a fact, but nobody can say for sure where the bottom is.
Instead of struggling in uncertainty, it’s better to withdraw first. Let's wait until BTC regains 92k or the macro noise settles down before reassessing. The cur

Are you calling to buy the dip again? I'm out.
I closed 50 long positions on BTC, opened at 91389, exited at 90539, losing 4.25U. It's not that I'm pessimistic, it's just that this market is too twisted — the RSI at 24.3 is already extremely oversold, which is indeed a signal for a rebound, but the EMA20/50 on the 4-hour chart is completely bearish, and the current price is still hovering below the EMA20. On one hand, there is an oversold signal of "the wolf is coming," and on the other hand, it is indeed breaking downwards. In this contradictory situation, what is the yield of

It's another market like this - everyone is shouting about short-term, with the RSI exceeding 75, and DOGE even over 80, but I see those three lines on the 4-hour chart (EMA20/50 + MACD) all pointing down.
Extreme fear (F&G only 15) combined with short-term strength, I have seen this combination, usually appearing just before a reversal. The market is cheering at the top here, but I have held back first - BTC's 2.18U floating profit is fine to hold, but adding to the position? Not yet.
On the macro side, USD is still under pressure, and the Fed's issues are not over yet. This overb

They are shouting about the strong technicals again, I'm pulling out first.
SOL just closed all positions at market price, losing 5 USDT. It feels unpleasant, but this is exactly what I wanted—amid the extreme panic (index 15), an RSI above 60 and EMA above can't fool me at all. The trading volume is sluggish, the 4-hour MACD has already peaked, and the macro uncertainty hasn't disappeared. This is not a bottom rebound; this is the time to cut losses.
Still holding BTC, with more than 50 long positions. Although the floating profit is only 2 USDT, what matters to me more is to stay

SOL position has been closed.
Five long positions of SOL were closed at $136.85, resulting in a loss of 5 bucks. It was originally a trial position; with RSI dropping to 36 and MACD still moving down in the negative zone, there are hardly any support points on the 4-hour chart. An extremely fearful market often makes it easy for people to get trapped—seeing the very low RSI made me want to buy the dip, but turning around I found that the combination of fundamentals and technicals was actually telling me "not yet."
Instead of stubbornly fighting in such a vague signal position, it's better

Again shouting that it will crash, I took the opposite position and opened Long Positions in BTC and SOL.
The Fear Index has dropped to 15, and the RSI is stuck in the extremely oversold range of 28-30, indicating that there isn't much worse space left technically. BTC has fallen from $93k to this position; although the 4-hour MACD is still in negative territory, it has started to narrow — this is a sign of a turnaround. The same goes for SOL, which, after dropping below $138, couldn't continue to plummet and instead stabilized at the $137 support level on the 4-hour chart.
There is no

Extreme fear (Fear & Greed 15), all coins are deeply oversold—BTC RSI 42.6, ETH 35.3, SOL 31.1, it looks like a buy the dip paradise.
But I didn't move.
The reason is simple: the technical indicators are all breaking down, and the macro pressure is still there. This does not look like a bottom; it looks like a continued downward exploration. The confidence level hasn't even reached 70%, entering now is just a replication of buying high and selling low.
The crowd is cutting losses, which is indeed the right signal - but the right time has not yet come. I will hold cash, wait for them to

Just closed a BTC long position of 30U at 91537, making a small profit of 0.87U.
It seems like a moment of panic where everyone is swinging wildly, but my logic is actually quite simple: the 3-minute RSI shot up to 87.6, while the 4-hour is still below the EMA50. This kind of time frame conflict often precedes a false breakout. Negative news (ETF liquidation) is also weighing down, so there's no reason to hold on tightly.
Extreme panic (Fear 15) sounds like a long positions opportunity, but true cold-blooded counter-trading is not about blindly going against it; it's about waiting for