Recently, there has been an increasing number of statements in the crypto market about XRP reaching four digits, but an analyst who has been active in the crypto space for many years bluntly poured cold water on these claims, which is worth our serious consideration.
His core point is very clear: the current market and technical fundamentals do not support such expectations. Let's look at some concrete numbers.
XRP is currently trading around $0.48, with a large circulating supply. To reach a four-digit level, the market capitalization would need to grow by a magnitude comparable to Bitcoin's historic bull run. This is not to say it's completely impossible, but the probability warrants careful assessment. A more realistic perspective is that there are many variables in the market and regulatory environment—compliance risks remain a constraining factor, like a sword hanging overhead, constantly affecting market sentiment.
On the technical side, there are also shortcomings. Compared to continuously upgraded and iterated public chains, the update progress of the XRP protocol is relatively slow, which is indeed a shortcoming in a highly competitive ecosystem.
That said, the analyst's view is not without its flaws. He didn't emphasize XRP's potential in cross-border payments and practical applications, and it must be acknowledged that certain unexpected events—such as major policy adjustments or large institutional entry—could indeed break the current market pattern.
So, what's the conclusion? Don't be blinded by aggressive price targets, but also don't completely dismiss the growth potential of this asset. The market is always more complex than predictions.