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The year-end crypto market is once again full of surprises. The LED light ball in Times Square, prepared for the 2026 countdown, was discovered by netizens to use exactly 589 LED bulbs—this instantly caused a stir in the XRP community. After all, the prophecy that "XRP will rise to $589" has been circulating in the crypto world for a long time. Is it a coincidence or a narrative boost? Opinions vary. Looking back at 2025, the entire crypto market is like this story—narratives are always hot, but reality is often harsh. Bitcoin surged to approximately $126,000 to hit a new high, then in mid-October, it experienced a sharp decline. Many altcoins fell more than 80% from their peaks. Currently, BTC is hovering around the middle Bollinger band on the monthly chart, a crucial position—it will determine whether it surges toward $125,000 or seeks support. The days are not easy for several popular assets. Although the XRP community still remembers the legend of "589," the current price is still searching for direction. After SHIB closed lower in December, some analysts started to hype a seasonal rebound in January, with a new target of breaking $0.00001203, but resistance is still ahead. On the BTC side, institutions once boldly claimed that in 2025 it could reach $200,000 or even $250,000, but macro shocks caught them off guard. So what about 2026? The market structure is changing, and institutional funding is gaining more influence. But volatility and black swan events have never left. The Times Square light ball may be a romantic imagination of the community; the real script is still written by supply and demand, policies, and surprises.

Having immersed myself in the crypto market for 5 years, the most common issue I see is beginners blindly following the Federal Reserve's moves while ignoring XRP's own patterns. Today, I want to share the five core trading methods I’ve tested with real funds, hoping to help everyone avoid detours. **Regulatory Signals: Court rulings are often more valuable than policy statements** To be honest, 70% of XRP's price movements are driven by regulatory policies. Remember the market surge in March 2025? When a certain country's government officially announced XRP as part of its strategic reserve assets, the price jumped over 14% in a single day. Then, when regulators dropped the lawsuit against Ripple, XRP soared another 10% on the daily chart. My approach is straightforward—regularly monitor official legal statements and Ripple executives’ updates. Key figures like Brad Garlinghouse often signal upcoming changes when they hint at "victory in sight." When I saw such signals before the lawsuit turned around in 2025, I increased my position immediately and later reaped significant gains. **On-chain Data: Big players’ actions are always more honest than words** On-chain data never lies. It was especially obvious in the second half of last year—while XRP was trading sideways around $1.80, the number of large wallet holders with over 10 million XRP increased by 15%. I knew something was off, and three months later, the price shot up to $3.60. Tracking these signals is simple—I mainly watch the frequency of large transactions. If buy orders over $100,000 increase sharply for three consecutive days, it’s usually institutions quietly building positions. Meanwhile, retail investors often hesitate, only to get a harsh lesson from the big players. **The remaining three indicators are still being analyzed; I will share them separately once the data is complete.** The core advice in one sentence: don’t be scared by macro policies, and don’t get blinded by daily K-line charts. Focus more on real on-chain fund flows and legal developments—these are the true drivers of XRP’s price.