Since March 2025, the Polkadot (DOT) price has been in a long-term downtrend overall, but amid recent increased market volatility, DOT still recorded a roughly 4.4% rebound over the past week. This performance, in an environment where Bitcoin prices are fluctuating and market sentiment remains cautious, represents a relatively stable short-term correction.
From a multi-timeframe analysis, DOT’s medium- to long-term trend remains bearish. The weekly chart shows that the downward structure since September last year is still ongoing, with multiple retests after breaks below support. Volume-related indicators reflect persistent selling pressure, and momentum indicators have not shown clear signs of trend reversal. The historical supply zone around $2.5 is still considered an important medium-term potential sell area.
However, on the 4-hour chart, the short-term structure has already changed. The price has successively broken through previous lows at $1.75 and $1.85, forming a bullish structural breakout, indicating that short-term funds are actively entering. The flow of funds and momentum indicators are strengthening in sync, providing technical conditions for DOT to continue upward. From this cycle, the psychological threshold of $2 may be tested, and if market sentiment cooperates, it could even reach the weekly supply zone between $2.1 and $2.5.
It is important to note that systemic risks facing the bulls still exist. Bitcoin remains under pressure near $90,000, causing the overall market to lack clear signals of risk appetite recovery. In this context, altcoins often lack sustainability in their rebounds and are prone to profit-taking at key resistance levels. A short-term bullish outlook does not mean the long-term trend has reversed; medium- and long-term investors should maintain rational expectations for the rebound.
From a trading perspective, current DOT is more suitable for rebound trading rather than trend reversal positioning. Technical models show that the $2.0 to $2.1 region has dense short liquidation and liquidity concentration, making it more likely for the price to approach this zone, which is suitable for short-term profit-taking. Once the price falls below $1.82, the short-term bullish structure will be broken, and the rebound logic will become invalid.
Overall, a breakout above $2 for Polkadot is not impossible, but it depends on the continuation of short-term momentum and the overall market sentiment not worsening further. Until the long-term trend reverses, risk control remains the core focus for participating in DOT trading.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
HYPE Hits $35.53 After 2.4% Jump — Will Momentum Hold as Price Tests $35.59 Resistance?
Hyperliquid’s HYPE trades at $35.53, approaching the $35.59 resistance after a 2.4% daily gain.
The chart shows the $33.67 zone acting as support after price moved above a previously contested level.
Price now trades between $33.67 support and $35.59 resistance, shaping the immediate
CryptoNewsLand48m ago
Is Injective (INJ) a Dead Coin or the Next 2800% Opportunity? Here’s What The Chart Is Saying
The Injective price has fallen sharply from its previous all-time high, leading some traders to question whether the project has lost its momentum.
However, a recent technical analysis shared by top analyst Crypto Patel suggests that the recent decline may actually represent a typical
CaptainAltcoin1h ago
CFX 4-hour chart reaches a new high for the phase, with approximately 14% increase over 24 hours
Gate News: On March 15, market data shows that CFX reached a new phase high on the 4-hour K-line chart, with prices touching approximately 0.06282 USDT at their peak, representing a 24-hour gain of around 14%. Some community members believe this rally may be related to recent macroeconomic catalysts. Earlier, media outlets citing sources reported that Iran is considering allowing certain tankers to pass through the Strait of Hormuz on the condition that petroleum transport be settled in Chinese yuan. Related discussions have once again sparked market attention toward yuan stablecoins and cross-border payment narratives.
GateNews2h ago
After the network upgrade: What prospects await SOL?
The official approval of protocol SIMD-0266 aims to optimize computing efficiency on the Solana network by introducing p-tokens, simplifying transaction processing. This upgrade, set for April, has prompted increased buying activity and could lead to significant cost reductions and performance improvements.
TapChiBitcoin3h ago
Track FET's journey to the $0.24 milestone as the AI cryptocurrency sector records its most positive trading week in months
The cryptocurrency industry related to AI has recently recorded an impressive performance. According to data from CoinMarketCap, the total market capitalization of this sector has grown 16% in just the past week. Many leading tokens in this category have also achieved significant growth, attracting
TapChiBitcoin4h ago
DeFi enters a "winter of yields": liquidity stagnation, leverage contraction, and the disappearance of arbitrage opportunities
Since September 2025, the DeFi market has entered a "interest rate winter," with the annualized deposit yields of mainstream stablecoins dropping to lows, and supply and demand imbalances causing excess liquidity. As borrowing demand declines, stablecoin lending rates have also decreased, and the reduced risk appetite in the crypto market has led investors to shift toward more stable assets. Some protocols, such as Sky, offer stable returns through real-world assets, but the overall trend still indicates a period of adjustment and structural reform in DeFi.
区块客4h ago
