ChainCatcher reports that, according to Jintiao, before the CPI release, based on CME “Federal Reserve Watch,” the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged until March is 90.3%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 9.7%. By April, the probability of a total 25 basis point rate cut is 28.1%, the probability of holding rates steady is 69.7%, and the probability of a total 50 basis point cut is 2.2%. By June, the probability of a total 25 basis point cut is 49.4%.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
TD Cowen: The U.S. may permanently ban CBDC, with the real estate amendment becoming a key factor
According to analysis, the U.S. Congress may push for a permanent ban on Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDC). Senator Cruz has introduced an amendment to turn the temporary ban into a permanent one. This move reduces concerns about the Federal Reserve issuing digital dollars and benefits the stablecoin market. However, the ban could become an obstacle to advancing the CLARITY Act, lowering its priority.
MarketWhisper55m ago
Arthur Hayes: Not increasing Bitcoin holdings for now, waiting for the Federal Reserve to restart money printing
Arthur Hayes stated in a podcast that while he is bullish on Bitcoin in the long term, he won't buy until the Federal Reserve eases policy. He is concerned that the Middle East situation could lead to a large-scale sell-off and emphasized that he would only consider buying when liquidity is released.
GateNews2h ago
Trump's nominee for Federal Reserve Chair, Whash, faces obstacles as Republican senators demand an investigation into Powell first
The Fed Chair candidate nominated by U.S. President Trump, Kevin Warsh, faced resistance from Republican Senator Thom Tillis in Congress as he sought support, because he demanded that no personnel nominations be advanced until the investigation into current Chair Jerome Powell is concluded. Tillis emphasized the importance of maintaining the independence of the Federal Reserve and expressed concerns about market impact. Warsh faces uncertainty regarding confirmation.
GateNews3h ago
Trump's tax cuts bring a $3,700 refund, but cryptocurrency taxes remain unchanged
The Trump administration's "Middle-Class Tax Relief" policy showed results in the 2026 tax season, processing over 63.5 million tax returns with an average refund of over $3,700, but it did not cover cryptocurrency taxation rules. Cryptocurrency investors still need to report capital gains taxes according to current tax laws. The newly launched "Trump Account" program also offers government funding, but the complex tax reporting situation for cryptocurrencies remains.
MarketWhisper3h ago
U.S. lawmakers propose: Remove the sunset clause in 2030 and advocate for a permanent ban on issuing CBDCs
Cruz proposal to remove the sunset clause on the CBDC ban, aiming to permanently prohibit the Federal Reserve from issuing digital dollars, intensifies the congressional debate over digital currency.
Senator introduces amendment advocating for a permanent ban on the United States issuing CBDC
-----------------------
The U.S. Congress's debate over Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) policies has heated up again. According to reports
CryptoCity3h ago
ABA Survey: About Two-Thirds of Consumers Support Limiting Stablecoin Yields to Reduce Financial Risks
A survey by the American Bankers Association shows that most consumers support restricting stablecoin yields to prevent potential risks to the banking system. About two-thirds of respondents believe that stablecoin yields could weaken banks' ability to use funds for community lending, calling on Congress to adopt cautious legislative measures. This issue has become a focal point of debate between the banking industry and the crypto sector in current cryptocurrency legislation discussions.
GateNews5h ago