The Federal Reserve has a 96% chance of maintaining interest rates in March, with only a 4% chance of a rate cut.

BTC 15-minute rally of 0.85%: Fed policy shift and ETF capital resonance drive buying momentum

From 2026-03-12 09:30 to 2026-03-12 09:45 (UTC), Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a rapid surge within a 0.93% volatility range, achieving a return of +0.85%, with prices fluctuating between 69678.0 and 70324.2 USDT. Trading volume increased approximately 38% compared to the previous hourly average. Market attention surged significantly, with short-term bullish sentiment amplified notably. The primary driver of this market movement was the Federal Reserve Chair's early morning release of policy shift signals, hinting that the pace of future rate hikes may slow down. The market broadly interpreted this as a marginal improvement in the liquidity environment

Bank of England May Ease Stablecoin Rules for Pound Sterling, Blockchain Innovation Faces New Opportunities

The Bank of England plans to revisit its stablecoin regulatory framework, potentially relaxing policies to support fintech innovation in response to industry feedback. While regulation aims to ensure safety, excessively stringent requirements have raised concerns among startups that could hinder their development. Analysis suggests that optimized regulation would help facilitate stablecoin adoption and attract international fintech companies.

White House Digital Director: Stablecoin yields benefit the US banking industry, and new assets will flow into traditional finance

White House Digital Asset Advisory Committee Executive Director Patrick Wieth supports the legitimacy of stablecoin yields, believing that when foreign investors exchange local currency for U.S. stablecoins, it actually brings new net capital inflows to the U.S. banking system. This view contrasts with the banking industry's concerns about stablecoins stealing deposits and has sparked a debate on how to balance financial innovation with community bank interests.

Bank of England: May Lift Stablecoin Limits, Open Applications by the End of 2026

The Deputy Governor of the Bank of England, Briden, stated that there is an open attitude towards setting limits on stablecoins and is willing to consider alternative proposals. The limit design has been criticized by the industry, which believes it could harm innovation and competitiveness. Although the consideration of limits is to prevent credit risk, the UK still plans to accept stablecoin issuance applications by the end of 2026 and to test related products within the regulatory sandbox.

Goldman Sachs adjusts Federal Reserve rate cut expectations: expects a 25 basis point cut in September and December each

Gate News Report, March 12 — Goldman Sachs adjusted its expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, now predicting the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points in September and December 2026. Previously, Goldman Sachs forecasted rate cuts in June and September 2026.

JPMorgan: High oil prices may prompt some Asian central banks to adopt hawkish monetary policies

JPMorgan economists have pointed out that persistently high oil prices could prompt some Asian central banks to adopt hawkish policies, especially Singapore and Malaysia, while the likelihood of Indonesia and the Philippines cutting interest rates decreases. Fiscal policy will become the first line of defense against trade shocks, and the Bank of Korea's decision to raise interest rates will depend on the impact of oil prices on inflation.